Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Royan Round of 32
Royan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Carlos Sanchez Jover faces Alejandro Moro Canas in the Royan round of 32 on clay. Alejandro Moro Canas holds the paper edge — ranked #236, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Alejandro Moro Canas carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCSanchez Jover C.18%
Moro Canas A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Moro Canas A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.1Clay Elo 1285
Surface ELO7.9+230 Clay Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1304
ELO gap8.3Overall Elo 1564
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H4.8Split 1–1 on clay
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form65%1st serve in+2%67%
63%1st serve points won+1%64%
48%2nd serve points won+3%51%
58%Service points won+2%60%
43%Return points won43%
59%Break points saved+2%57%
1.8Aces / match+0.42.2
3Double faults / match+0.92.1
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.