Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar — London Round of 32
London · ATP · Round of 32
PER#35ATP
1845ELO
1596Grass ELO
$804kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCBuse I.20%
Jodar R.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Jodar R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1596
Surface ELO6.2+96 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1845
ELO gap6.7Overall Elo 1983
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form62%1st serve in62%
74%1st serve points won+1%73%
48%2nd serve points won+8%56%
64%Service points won+3%67%
38%Return points won+4%42%
64%Break points saved+4%68%
5.2Aces / match+0.84.4
2.7Double faults / match+1.41.3
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.