Mark Lajal vs Ugo Blanchet — Dublin Round of 32
Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
EST#154ATP
1598ELO
1587Grass ELO
$55kYTD
$612kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWLL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
FRA#173ATP
1536ELO
1445Grass ELO
$75kYTD
$945kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWWLL
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCLajal M.79%
Blanchet U.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.8+141 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO3.2Grass Elo 1445
5.8Overall Elo 1598
ELO gap4.2Overall Elo 1536
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
6.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form2.93 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+8%53%
74%1st serve points won+1%73%
48%2nd serve points won+4%52%
64%Service points won+1%63%
37%Return points won+2%35%
69%Break points saved+5%64%
7.4Aces / match+2.15.3
3.2Double faults / match+0.72.5
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.