Oriol Roca Batalla vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezParma Qualifying Final

Parma · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#327ATP
1449ELO
1424Clay ELO
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#490ATP
1318ELO
1291Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLW
Roca Batalla O.
vs
Sanchez Quilez A.

Oriol Roca Batalla faces Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Parma qualifying final on clay. Oriol Roca Batalla holds the paper edge — ranked #327, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Roca Batalla O.77%
Sanchez Quilez A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Roca Batalla O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1291
6.6Overall Elo 1449
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1318
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

7 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Roca Batalla O.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sanchez Quilez A.

Sanchez Quilez A.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Roca Batalla O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
85

Roca Batalla O.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Sanchez Quilez A.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.