Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef — Ilkley Final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Final
USA
Ashlyn Krueger
#113WTA
1711ELO
1576Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWW
—
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
SUIQ
Celine Naef
#206WTA
1623ELO
1569Grass ELO
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWLW

Ashlyn Krueger faces Celine Naef in the Ilkley final on grass. Ashlyn Krueger holds the paper edge — ranked #113. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC
Krueger A.63%
Naef C.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krueger A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krueger A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Naef C.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1568
5.6Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1622
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
9.09 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.58 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Krueger A.Naef C.
67%1st serve in+6%61%
64%1st serve points won+5%69%
46%2nd serve points won+1%47%
58%Service points won+2%60%
41%Return points won+6%47%
57%Break points saved+1%58%
5.6Aces / match+1.93.7
5Double faults / match+1.53.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Golubic V.[1]
D. Britton
6-36-3
Martincova T.[7]
Swan K.
5-72-6
Dudeney A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-3
Kalieva E.
Krueger A.[8]
2-62-6
Vidmanova D.[4]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-767-6106-2
Stefanini L.
Valdmannova V.[3]
6-46-3
Xu M.
Mandlik E.
6-44-61-6
Jones E.
Galfi D.[6]
6-767-625-7
Sun L.[5]
Mcdonald E.
2-66-26-2
Day K.
Stoiana M.
5-74-6
Podrez V.
Prozorova T.
4-62-6
Klimovicova L.
Kraus S.[3]
2-63-6
Korneeva A.
Naef C.[4]
4-65-7
Sawangkaew M.
Urhobo A.
6-730-6
Preston T.
Tan H.[6]
6-43-61-6
Shymanovich I.[1]
Tararudee L.[2]
6-766-75
Golubic V.[1]
Swan K.
4-66-75
Dudeney A.
Krueger A.[8]
4-66-32-6
Vidmanova D.[4]
Stefanini L.
6-26-1
Mandlik E.
Galfi D.[6]
6-46-4
Sun L.[5]
Stoiana M.
2-63-6
Prozorova T.
Kraus S.[3]
6-46-3
Naef C.[4]
Urhobo A.
6-36-4
Tan H.[6]
Tararudee L.[2]
6-27-63
Swan K.
Krueger A.[8]
1-60-0
Vidmanova D.[4]
Mandlik E.
6-726-37-62
Stoiana M.
Prozorova T.
7-56-1
Naef C.[4]
Tan H.[6]
7-666-3
Krueger A.[8]
Vidmanova D.[4]
6-43-66-4
Stoiana M.
Naef C.
6-13-64-6
Krueger A.
Naef C.