Luca Nardi vs Giles Hussey — Nottingham Qualifying Final

Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

ITA

Luca Nardi

#159ATP

1608ELO

1440Grass ELO

$198kYTD

$2.3MCAREER

22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLWWLLL

—

Sets

Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

CENTRE COURT · 1st on

GBR

Giles Hussey

#294ATP

1384ELO

1354Grass ELO

29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWWWWL

Luca Nardi faces Giles Hussey in the Nottingham qualifying final on grass. Luca Nardi holds the paper edge — ranked #159, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Luca Nardi dropped the opening set before beating Oscar Weightman 3–6 6–3 6–4.
Last match: Giles Hussey edged Patrick Brady in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Fatigue load: Luca Nardi carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC

Nardi L.83%

Hussey G.17%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nardi L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Nardi L.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Hussey G.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.1+86 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.9Grass Elo 1354

7.8Overall Elo 1608

ELO gap

2.2Overall Elo 1384

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.12 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

4.64 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.