Anna Blinkova vs Anna BondarNottingham Qualifying Final

Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Final
#105WTA
1682ELO
1589Grass ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
#75WTA
1768ELO
1515Grass ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWWWL

Anna Blinkova faces Anna Bondar in the Nottingham qualifying final on grass. Anna Blinkova holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Blinkova A.39%
Bondar A.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bondar A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1515
4.1Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1768
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on grass
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27JiujiangR16hardAnna Blinkova7-6(3) 7-5
2023-04-03CharlestonR64clayAnna Blinkova7-6(7) 6-2

Statistics

Recent form
60%1st serve in+3%63%
58%1st serve points won+8%66%
42%2nd serve points won+7%49%
52%Service points won+7%59%
44%Return points won+3%41%
52%Break points saved+12%64%
1.2Aces / match+3.24.4
3.8Double faults / match+2.11.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.