Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana TararudeeNottingham Qualifying Semi-final

Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#67WTA
1758ELO
1629Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLWWWW
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
#94WTA
1752ELO
1600Grass ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWWWW

Zeynep Sonmez faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Nottingham qualifying semi-final on grass. Zeynep Sonmez is the paper favourite — ranked #67, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage — but Lanlana Tararudee has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Lanlana Tararudee leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Chennai 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Zeynep Sonmez carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC
Sonmez Z.44%
Tararudee L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+29 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1600
4.9Overall Elo 1758
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1752
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.64 of last 7 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27ChennaiR16hardLanlana Tararudee2-6 6-3 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
62%1st serve in+3%59%
63%1st serve points won+4%67%
48%2nd serve points won+2%46%
57%Service points won+2%59%
46%Return points won+1%47%
58%Break points saved+3%55%
1.9Aces / match+2.74.6
2.4Double faults / match+13.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.