Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla RakhimovaNottingham Qualifying Semi-final

Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#91WTA
1688ELO
1530Grass ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLLLW
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
#78WTA
1702ELO
1620Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLLLWL

Oksana Selekhmeteva faces Kamilla Rakhimova in the Nottingham qualifying semi-final on grass. Kamilla Rakhimova is the paper favourite — ranked #78, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage — but Oksana Selekhmeteva has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC
Selekhmeteva O.31%
Rakhimova K.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rakhimova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1530
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1688
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1702
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23AustinR16hardOksana Selekhmeteva6-2 7-5

Statistics

Recent form
65%1st serve in+8%57%
61%1st serve points won+3%64%
42%2nd serve points won+4%46%
54%Service points won+2%56%
46%Return points won+1%45%
54%Break points saved+1%55%
2.3Aces / match+0.61.7
6.7Double faults / match+1.35.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.