Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovics Hertogenbosch Semi-final

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Semi-final
#484WTA
1644ELO
1619Grass ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
#109WTA
1698ELO
1630Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLWL
Montgomery R.
6-4 6-2
Tomljanovic A.
Montgomery R.
662
Tomljanovic A.
420

Robin Montgomery reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-4 6-2 win over Ajla Tomljanovic in the s Hertogenbosch semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 7: Robin Montgomery broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 3: Robin Montgomery broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Robin Montgomery converted 3 of 4 break points; Ajla Tomljanovic converted 0 of 1 break points.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Montgomery R.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Montgomery R.

Serve advantage — Tomljanovic A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
44%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
73
Break points won·Dominant
44
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC
Montgomery R.44%
Tomljanovic A.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1633
Surface ELO
5.3+24 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1719
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
68
70

Montgomery R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 86 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 68%