Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot — Nottingham Qualifying Semi-final
Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
—
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTCKenin S.69%
Jacquemot E.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Kenin S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.5+36 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.5Grass Elo 1569
5.5Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap4.5Overall Elo 1621
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.35 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form67%1st serve in+4%63%
62%1st serve points won+3%65%
45%2nd serve points won+8%37%
56%Service points won+1%55%
39%Return points won39%
53%Break points saved+1%54%
1.9Aces / match+23.9
5.2Double faults / match+2.37.5
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.