Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito — Berlin Qualifying Semi-final
Berlin · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
—
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTCMarcinko P.77%
Ito A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Marcinko P. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.6+52 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.4Grass Elo 1417
6.9Overall Elo 1737
ELO gap3.1Overall Elo 1586
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.15
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 58%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form60%1st serve in+6%66%
63%1st serve points won+5%58%
42%2nd serve points won+2%44%
55%Service points won+2%53%
45%Return points won+1%44%
48%Break points saved+2%50%
2.4Aces / match+0.12.5
3.7Double faults / match+0.54.2
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.