Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano — Ilkley Semi-final
Jacob Fearnley faces Filippo Romano in the Ilkley semi-final on grass. Jacob Fearnley is the paper favourite — ranked #145, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage — but Filippo Romano arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last grass matches to Jacob Fearnley's 3.
Key context
- Last match: Jacob Fearnley won all two sets in tiebreaks against Darwin Blanch.
- Fatigue load: Filippo Romano carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Jacob Fearnley 3 of 4, Filippo Romano 4 of 4 on grass recently — Filippo Romano the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Filippo Romano arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Fearnley J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
When it starts
4th on CENTRE COURT · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Blanch D. v Fearnley J.6-746-76
- 3Sweeny D. v Yunchaokete B.Live6-64
- 4Fearnley J. v Romano F.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.