Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar — Nottingham Qualifying Semi-final
Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
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Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
Emiliana Arango faces Anna Bondar in the Nottingham qualifying semi-final on grass. Anna Bondar holds the paper edge — ranked #75, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Anna Bondar leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Rabat 2026.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTCArango E.20%
Bondar A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Bondar A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1444
Surface ELO5.9+70 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap6.7Overall Elo 1768
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
1.32 of last 10 on grass
Surface form1.31 of last 9 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Rabat | R16 | clay | Anna Bondar | 6.6-7.8 6-1 0-6 |
Statistics
Recent form71%1st serve in+8%63%
55%1st serve points won+11%66%
46%2nd serve points won+3%49%
52%Service points won+7%59%
45%Return points won+4%41%
54%Break points saved+10%64%
0.7Aces / match+3.74.4
2Double faults / match+0.31.7
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.