Karolina Pliskova vs Donna VekicLondon Quarter-final

London · WTA · Quarter-final
#106WTA
1862ELO
1750Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWW
Sets
Friday, 12 June 2026 ·
grass
#76WTA
1777ELO
1687Grass ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLWWL

Karolina Pliskova faces Donna Vekic in the London quarter-final on grass. Karolina Pliskova holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 7–3, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Pliskova K.72%
Vekic D.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pliskova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+63 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1687
6.3Overall Elo 1862
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1777
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.1Won 68% in GBR (56)
Country comfort
5.4Won 56% in GBR (32)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

73
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-06LinzQFhardDonna Vekic7-5 6-4
2024-03-18MiamiR128hardDonna Vekic6-4 2-6 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartR16clayKarolina Pliskova6-2 6-7(5) 7-6(5)
2022-10-10San DiegoR16hardDonna Vekic6-3 6-2
2021-08-09MontrealR32hardKarolina Pliskova4-6 6-3 7-6(2)
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassKarolina Pliskova6-2 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayKarolina Pliskova7-5 6-4
2018-12-31BrisbaneSFhardKarolina Pliskova6-3 6-4
2018-09-17TokyoSFhardKarolina Pliskova6-2 4-6 6-3
2014-03-31MonterreyR16hardKarolina Pliskova4-6 6-2 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
64%1st serve in+3%61%
66%1st serve points won+3%69%
43%2nd serve points won+3%46%
58%Service points won+2%60%
42%Return points won+1%43%
59%Break points saved+3%56%
4.8Aces / match+2.12.7
5.9Double faults / match+1.94

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.