Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe

Stuttgart · ATP

CZE

Jiri Lehecka

#12ATP

1947ELO

1806Grass ELO

$1.3MYTD

$8.7MCAREER

24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLWWWLW

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Sets

Friday, 12 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

USA

Frances Tiafoe

#26ATP

1866ELO

1734Grass ELO

$980kYTD

$17MCAREER

28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWLWLW

Jiri Lehecka faces Frances Tiafoe in the Stuttgart match on grass. Jiri Lehecka is the paper favourite — ranked #12, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage — but Frances Tiafoe has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings.

Key context

Last match: Jiri Lehecka dropped the opening set before beating James Duckworth 6–7 6–4 7–6.
Head-to-head: Frances Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 2–1, 0–1 on grass. Last met at Davis Cup QLS R2: USA vs CZE 2025.
Fatigue load: Frances Tiafoe carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Stage: Jiri Lehecka defends last year's quarter-final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC

Lehecka J.73%

Tiafoe F.27%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lehecka J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Lehecka J.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tiafoe F.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.9+72 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.1Grass Elo 1734

6.0Overall Elo 1947

ELO gap

4.0Overall Elo 1866

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

7.78 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.65 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

7.0Reached the quarters here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

14°CRain

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

1–2

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-09-12	Davis Cup QLS R2: USA vs CZE	RR	hard	Jiri Lehecka	6-3 6-2
2024-08-12	Cincinnati Masters	R16	hard	Frances Tiafoe	6-4 6-7(10) 7-6(5)
2023-06-12	Stuttgart	R16	grass	Frances Tiafoe	7-6(2) 6-4

View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form

Lehecka J.Tiafoe F.

66%1st serve in+4%62%

73%1st serve points won73%

54%2nd serve points won54%

67%Service points won+1%66%

37%Return points won+2%35%

71%Break points saved+6%65%

7.3Aces / match+1.16.2

0.9Double faults / match+0.51.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe — Stuttgart