Zdenek Kolar vs Federico CinaBratislava Quarter-final

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#162ATP
1510ELO
1503Clay ELO
$72kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Friday, 12 June 2026 ·
clay
#185ATP
1532ELO
1472Clay ELO
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Zdenek Kolar faces Federico Cina in the Bratislava quarter-final on clay. Zdenek Kolar is the paper favourite — ranked #162, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Federico Cina arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Zdenek Kolar's 5.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Kolar Z.44%
Cina F.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+31 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1472
4.7Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
68%1st serve in+5%63%
68%1st serve points won+3%71%
52%2nd serve points won+5%47%
63%Service points won+1%62%
40%Return points won+1%39%
57%Break points saved+10%67%
2.2Aces / match+1.23.4
3.6Double faults / match+1.12.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.