Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

USA

Tristan Boyer

#198ATP

1582ELO

1554Clay ELO

$90kYTD

$944kCAREER

25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLWWWWW

—

Sets

Friday, 12 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

ESP

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

#226ATP

1521ELO

1499Clay ELO

27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWLWLW

Tristan Boyer faces Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Lyon quarter-final on clay. Tristan Boyer holds the paper edge — ranked #198, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Tristan Boyer dropped just 6 games past Matteo Martineau.
Fatigue load: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Tristan Boyer 8 of 10, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 7 of 10 on clay recently — Tristan Boyer the sharper of late.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC

Boyer T.59%

Sanchez Izquierdo N.41%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Boyer T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Boyer T.

7.2

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Sanchez Izquierdo N.

6.6

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.7+55 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.3Clay Elo 1499

5.8Overall Elo 1582

ELO gap

4.2Overall Elo 1520

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.78 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.37 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

20°CClear

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Boyer T.Sanchez Izquierdo N.

66%1st serve in+1%65%

66%1st serve points won+2%68%

48%2nd serve points won+6%54%

60%Service points won+3%63%

42%Return points won42%

55%Break points saved+4%51%

2.9Aces / match+0.62.3

2.1Double faults / match+0.22.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Lyon Quarter-final