Bu Yunchaokete vs Leandro Riedi — Ilkley Round of 16

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

CHN

Bu Yunchaokete

#131ATP

1653ELO

1469Grass ELO

24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWLLWW

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

SUI

Leandro Riedi

#117ATP

1714ELO

1655Grass ELO

$131kYTD

$1.2MCAREER

24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWWLLWWL

Bu Yunchaokete faces Leandro Riedi in the Ilkley round of 16 on grass. Leandro Riedi is the paper favourite — ranked #117, a roughly 190-point grass Elo advantage — but Bu Yunchaokete rides a 6-match win streak.

Key context

Last match: Bu Yunchaokete edged Chris Rodesch in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Fatigue load: Bu Yunchaokete carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: Bu Yunchaokete arrives on a 6-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Yunchaokete B.19%

Riedi L.81%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Riedi L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Yunchaokete B.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Riedi L.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

2.7Grass Elo 1469

Surface ELO

7.3+186 Grass Elo edge

4.2Overall Elo 1653

ELO gap

5.8Overall Elo 1714

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

7.26 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.08 of last 10 on grass

9.06-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

12°CDrizzle

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Yunchaokete B.Riedi L.

60%1st serve in+2%62%

73%1st serve points won+1%72%

60%2nd serve points won+6%54%

68%Service points won+3%65%

35%Return points won+4%39%

66%Break points saved66%

6.1Aces / match+0.85.3

1.2Double faults / match+0.51.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final