Maxim Mrva vs Chun Hsin Tseng — Bratislava Round of 16

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

CZE

Maxim Mrva

#312ATP

1456ELO

1377Clay ELO

18 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLLWWLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

TPE

Chun Hsin Tseng

#245ATP

1542ELO

1536Clay ELO

$99kYTD

$1.7MCAREER

24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLWWWLLL

Maxim Mrva faces Chun Hsin Tseng in the Bratislava round of 16 on clay. Chun Hsin Tseng holds the paper edge — ranked #245, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Maxim Mrva edged Martin Krumich in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Fatigue load: Chun Hsin Tseng carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC

Mrva M.33%

Tseng C.67%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tseng C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Mrva M.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Tseng C.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.0Clay Elo 1377

Surface ELO

7.0+158 Clay Elo edge

3.9Overall Elo 1456

ELO gap

6.1Overall Elo 1542

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.65 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.26 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

17°COvercast

Wind 23 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Mrva M.Tseng C.

55%1st serve in+7%62%

62%1st serve points won+4%66%

48%2nd serve points won+2%50%

56%Service points won+4%60%

43%Return points won+2%41%

49%Break points saved+9%58%

2.7Aces / match+11.7

4.3Double faults / match+2.61.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.