Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen — s Hertogenbosch R16

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 16

USAQ

Robin Montgomery

#484WTA

1671ELO

1633Grass ELO

21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

COURT 5 · 1st on

BELQ

Greet Minnen

#202WTA

1695ELO

1655Grass ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

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Robin Montgomery faces Greet Minnen in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Greet Minnen holds the paper edge — ranked #202, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Robin Montgomery dropped the opening set before beating Daria Kasatkina 5–7 6–0 6–4.
Fatigue load: Robin Montgomery carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Stage: Greet Minnen defends last year's round of 16.
Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Montgomery R.43%

Minnen G.57%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Montgomery R.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Minnen G.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.7Grass Elo 1633

Surface ELO

5.3+22 Grass Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1671

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 1695

3.0Trails 0–1 on grass

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on grass

8.18 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.28 of last 10 on grass

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

16°COvercast

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Montgomery R.Minnen G.

66%1st serve in66%

63%1st serve points won+1%64%

44%2nd serve points won+7%51%

57%Service points won+3%60%

42%Return points won42%

53%Break points saved53%

3.3Aces / match+0.72.6

5.6Double faults / match+3.71.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen — s Hertogenbosch Round of 16