Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

FRAWC

Thomas Faurel

#318ATP

1321ELO

1279Clay ELO

20 yrs

Last 10

WLWWWLLWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

COURT SOPRA STERIA · 4th on

FRA

Clement Tabur

#190ATP

1618ELO

1560Clay ELO

$91kYTD

$531kCAREER

26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWWWWLLL

Thomas Faurel faces Clement Tabur in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. Clement Tabur holds the paper edge — ranked #190, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Thomas Faurel dropped the opening set before beating Florent Bax 6–7 6–3 6–3.
Fatigue load: Thomas Faurel carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Thomas Faurel 6 of 10, Clement Tabur 5 of 10 on clay recently — Thomas Faurel the sharper of late.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC

Faurel T.13%

Tabur C.87%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tabur C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Faurel T.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tabur C.

7.7

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

1.5Clay Elo 1279

Surface ELO

8.5+282 Clay Elo edge

1.3Overall Elo 1320

ELO gap

8.7Overall Elo 1618

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.36 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.06 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

8.8Home country · 4/5 here

Country comfort

7.0Home country · 5/10 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

4th on COURT SOPRA STERIA · not before Not Before 17:45 · 3 matches still to finish ahead

Conditions

Weather forecast

18°COvercast

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Faurel T.Tabur C.

63%1st serve in+5%58%

62%1st serve points won+10%72%

51%2nd serve points won+2%53%

58%Service points won+6%64%

40%Return points won+2%42%

57%Break points saved+7%64%

2.4Aces / match+1.43.8

2.2Double faults / match+0.83

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur — Lyon Round of 16