Akira Santillan vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

AUSLL

Akira Santillan

#309ATP

1415ELO

1369Clay ELO

29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLLWWLL

1 — 2

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 15:25

clay

COURT 9 · 3rd on

JORQ

Abedallah Shelbayh

#308ATP

1440ELO

1327Clay ELO

22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWLLLLL

Abedallah Shelbayh won six games in a row to see off Akira Santillan 7-6 2-6 6-0 in the Bratislava qualifying final.

Key context

Set 2, game 2: A 13-point game with four deuces went Abedallah Shelbayh's way.
Set 3, game 1: Abedallah Shelbayh broke serve.
Pressure points: Akira Santillan converted 2 of 7 break points; Abedallah Shelbayh converted 3 of 6 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC

Santillan A.68%

Shelbayh A.32%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Santillan A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Santillan A.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Shelbayh A.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.5+42 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.5Clay Elo 1326

4.7Overall Elo 1415

ELO gap

5.3Overall Elo 1440

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.26 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.54 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Santillan A.

6⁰601

Shelbayh A.

7⁷262