Max Alcala Gurri vs Johan Nikles — Lyon Qualifying Final

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

ESPQ

Max Alcala Gurri

#275ATP

1507ELO

1485Clay ELO

23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWWWW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 12:15

clay

COURT 12 · 2nd on

SUI

Johan Nikles

#431ATP

1319ELO

1306Clay ELO

29 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWLWLWW

Max Alcala Gurri reeled off five straight games on the way to a 7-5 6-2 win over Johan Nikles in the Lyon qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 3: A 19-point game with seven deuces went Max Alcala Gurri's way.
Set 1, game 11: A 13-point game with four deuces went Max Alcala Gurri's way.
Pressure points: Max Alcala Gurri converted 7 of 16 break points; Johan Nikles converted 4 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:20 UTC

Alcala Gurri M.87%

Nikles J.13%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Alcala Gurri M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Alcala Gurri M.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Nikles J.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.2+179 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.8Clay Elo 1306

7.4Overall Elo 1507

ELO gap

2.6Overall Elo 1319

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

10.010 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.97 of last 10 on clay

10.011-match win streak

Win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Alcala Gurri M.

762

Nikles J.

520