Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

CZEQ

Martin Krumich

#268ATP

1413ELO

1371Clay ELO

23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLWWWWLW

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 10:45

clay

COURT 9 · 1st on

FRA

Mathys Erhard

#377ATP

1353ELO

1330Clay ELO

24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWLLWWL

Martin Krumich recovered from a set down to defeat Mathys Erhard 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Bratislava qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 8: Mathys Erhard broke serve.
Set 3, game 6: Martin Krumich broke serve.
Pressure points: Martin Krumich converted 3 of 9 break points; Mathys Erhard converted 1 of 3 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC

Krumich M.67%

Erhard M.33%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Krumich M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Krumich M.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Erhard M.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.5+41 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.5Clay Elo 1330

5.7Overall Elo 1413

ELO gap

4.3Overall Elo 1353

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

6.67 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.56 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Krumich M.

3662

Erhard M.

6231