Lukas Neumayer vs Taro Daniel — Bratislava Qualifying Final

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

AUT

Lukas Neumayer

#168ATP

1569ELO

1560Clay ELO

$75kYTD

$514kCAREER

23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWWWLWWL

0 — 2

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 12:55

clay

COURT 8 · 2nd on

JPNQ

Taro Daniel

#293ATP

1495ELO

1454Clay ELO

33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWWLWWL

Taro Daniel won five games in a row to see off Lukas Neumayer 6-4 6-3 in the Bratislava qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 10: Taro Daniel broke serve.
Set 2, game 2: Taro Daniel broke serve.
Pressure points: Lukas Neumayer converted 1 of 6 break points; Taro Daniel converted 3 of 10 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC

Neumayer L.77%

Daniel T.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Neumayer L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Neumayer L.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Daniel T.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.3+105 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Clay Elo 1454

5.9Overall Elo 1569

ELO gap

4.1Overall Elo 1495

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

8.68 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.27 of last 10 on clay

9.06-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Neumayer L.

430

Daniel T.

662