Harmony Tan vs Emily Appleton — Ilkley Qualifying Final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

FRAQ

Harmony Tan

#210WTA

1539ELO

1516Grass ELO

28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWLWLWLW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 13:30

grass

CENTRE COURT · 1st on

GBR

Emily Appleton

#418WTA

1272ELO

1303Grass ELO

26 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLWLLWWWW

Harmony Tan reeled off six straight games on the way to a 7-5 6-3 win over Emily Appleton in the Ilkley qualifying final.

Key context

Set 2, game 2: Harmony Tan broke serve.
Set 2, game 6: A 13-point game with four deuces went Emily Appleton's way.
Pressure points: Harmony Tan converted 4 of 9 break points; Emily Appleton converted 2 of 2 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC

Tan H.88%

Appleton E.12%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tan H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Tan H.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Appleton E.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.7+213 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.3Grass Elo 1303

6.9Overall Elo 1539

ELO gap

3.1Overall Elo 1272

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.85 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

4.64 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Country comfort

10.0Home country · 1/1 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Tan H.

762

Appleton E.

530