Harmony Tan vs Amelia RajeckiIlkley Qualifying Semi-final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#210WTA
1539ELO
1516Grass ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 4 · 1st on
#455WTA
1266ELO
1304Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL

Harmony Tan broke serve in the first set to take control and defeat Amelia Rajecki 6-4 6-4 in the Ilkley qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Harmony Tan converted 5 of 9 break points; Amelia Rajecki converted 3 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Tan H.88%
Rajecki A.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tan H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+212 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Grass Elo 1304
7.3Overall Elo 1539
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1266
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Tan H.
662
Rajecki A.
440

Conditions

Weather
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
52%1st serve in+11%63%
68%1st serve points won+3%71%
50%2nd serve points won+3%47%
59%Service points won+3%62%
46%Return points won+5%41%
63%Break points saved+8%55%
2.5Aces / match+2.85.3
2.5Double faults / match+1.64.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.