Elena Pridankina vs Ella McdonaldIlkley Qualifying Semi-final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#205WTA
1575ELO
1426Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 1st on
#538WTA
1295ELO
1349Grass ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWLWW

Ella Mcdonald recovered from a set down to defeat Elena Pridankina 1-6 6-1 6-4 in the Ilkley qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: A 15-point game with five deuces went Ella Mcdonald's way.
  • Set 1, game 4: Elena Pridankina broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Elena Pridankina converted 4 of 9 break points; Ella Mcdonald converted 5 of 9 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Pridankina E.85%
Mcdonald E.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pridankina E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1349
6.8Overall Elo 1574
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1295
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.53 of last 7 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pridankina E.
6141
Mcdonald E.
1662

Conditions

Weather
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
65%1st serve in+3%62%
60%1st serve points won+4%64%
39%2nd serve points won+3%42%
53%Service points won+3%56%
50%Return points won+5%45%
50%Break points saved+3%53%
1Aces / match+0.91.9
5.3Double faults / match5.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.