Daniel Michalski vs Andres Martin — Bratislava Qualifying Semi-final

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
POL
Daniel Michalski
#296ATP
1424ELO
1373Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 8 · 1st on
USA
Andres Martin
#315ATP
1329ELO
1302Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWL

Andres Martin saved one match point before defeating Daniel Michalski in the Bratislava qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 8: Andres Martin broke serve.
  • Set 3 tiebreak: Andres Martin took the deciding set 7-6.
  • Pressure points: Daniel Michalski converted 1 of 1 break points; Andres Martin converted 1 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC
Michalski D.69%
Martin A.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Michalski D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Michalski D.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Martin A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+71 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1302
6.2Overall Elo 1424
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1329
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Jet lag
5.07h east, 3d ago
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Michalski D.
36681
Martin A.
637102

Conditions

Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Michalski D.Martin A.
60%1st serve in+6%66%
65%1st serve points won65%
51%2nd serve points won+1%50%
60%Service points won60%
40%Return points won+2%38%
50%Break points saved+6%56%
2.3Aces / match+0.42.7
1.6Double faults / match+1.53.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying