Vadym Ursu vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final

UKRALT

Vadym Ursu

#471ATP

1223ELO

1168Clay ELO

29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWLLLWWL

1 — 2

Sets

Sunday, 7 June 2026 · 13:40

clay

COURT 9 · 3rd on

BUL

Dimitar Kuzmanov

#338ATP

1456ELO

1421Clay ELO

32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLWLLWWL

Dimitar Kuzmanov recovered from a set down to defeat Vadym Ursu 4-6 6-2 6-1 in the Bratislava qualifying semi-final.

Key context

Momentum: Dimitar Kuzmanov won five games in a row.
Set 3, game 2: Dimitar Kuzmanov broke serve.
Pressure points: Vadym Ursu converted 2 of 8 break points; Dimitar Kuzmanov converted 5 of 14 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC

Ursu V.18%

Kuzmanov D.82%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kuzmanov D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ursu V.

4.3

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Kuzmanov D.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

1.8Clay Elo 1168

Surface ELO

8.2+253 Clay Elo edge

2.1Overall Elo 1223

ELO gap

7.9Overall Elo 1456

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.83 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.95 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

6.0Hard → Clay

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Ursu V.

6211

Kuzmanov D.

4662