Maria Kozyreva vs Clervie Ngounoue — Ilkley Qualifying Semi-final
Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 3rd on
Clervie Ngounoue broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Maria Kozyreva 7-6 6-2 in the Ilkley qualifying semi-final.
Key context
- Set 2, game 8: Clervie Ngounoue saved four break points to hold serve.
- Pressure points: Maria Kozyreva converted 2 of 9 break points; Clervie Ngounoue converted 4 of 11 break points.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTCKozyreva M.22%
Ngounoue C.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Ngounoue C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1327
Surface ELO6.2+100 Grass Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1304
ELO gap9.0Overall Elo 1557
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0Last match 1h30m
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Kozyreva M.
6120
Ngounoue C.
7762
Conditions
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 73%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form64%1st serve in+2%62%
56%1st serve points won+8%64%
50%2nd serve points won+4%46%
54%Service points won+3%57%
43%Return points won43%
38%Break points saved+17%55%
1.2Aces / match+2.43.6
2.7Double faults / match+1.54.2
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw — qualifying
Final
Kozyreva M.
Ngounoue C.
6-712-6
Shymanovich I.
Martincova T.
Valdmannova V.
Naef C.
Mcdonald E.
Tan H.
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