Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski — Centurion 2 Final

Centurion 2 · CHALLENGER · Final
RSA
Philip Henning
#319ATP
1386ELO
1365Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
BULQ
Alexander Donski
#687ATP
1368ELO
1373Hard ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLL

Philip Henning survived one match point to beat Alexander Donski in the Centurion 2 final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 3: Philip Henning broke serve.
  • Set 3 tiebreak: Philip Henning took the deciding set 7-6.
  • Pressure points: Philip Henning converted 2 of 5 break points; Alexander Donski converted 1 of 2 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Henning P.53%
Donski A.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Henning P.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Donski A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1365
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1386
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1368
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.58 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Henning P.
63782
Donski A.
26661

Conditions

Weather
16°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Henning P.Donski A.
65%1st serve in+10%55%
69%1st serve points won+4%73%
53%2nd serve points won+4%49%
63%Service points won+1%62%
39%Return points won+3%36%
61%Break points saved+2%63%
2.9Aces / match+5.98.8
1.6Double faults / match+2.64.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Mayot H.
Takahashi Y.
7-626-786-0
Koenig L.
Pankin S.
3-66-40-6
Weightman O.
Badenhorst D.
3-64-6
Peliwo F.
Coulibaly E.
3-61-6
Bertrand R.
P. Zahraj
6-26-2
M. Sasikumar
Hussey G.
5-72-6
Strombachs R.
Hurrion M.
6-756-37-64
Kimhi O.
Henning P.
2-62-6
Alkaya M.
Azkara A.
6-43-62-6
Dalmasso G.
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
6-46-3
Castelnuovo L.
Gonzalez Fernandez M.
4-62-6
Montsi K.
Hemery C.
3-66-37-5
Santillan A.
Donski A.
5-75-7
Rawat S.
Winter E.
3-62-6
Palan D.
Beckley A.
3-63-6
Duran T.
Napolitano S.
6-757-623-0
Mayot H.
Pankin S.
6-34-66-3
Badenhorst D.
Coulibaly E.
7-623-62-6
Bertrand R.
Hussey G.
7-53-63-6
Strombachs R.
Henning P.
2-63-6
Azkara A.
Dalmasso G.
7-656-2
Gonzalez Fernandez M.
Montsi K.
1-63-6
Donski A.
Winter E.
7-626-747-5
Beckley A.
Duran T.
3-64-6
Mayot H.
Coulibaly E.
7-56-4
Hussey G.
Henning P.
2-61-6
Azkara A.
Montsi K.
1-64-6
Donski A.
Duran T.
4-67-666-2
Mayot H.
Henning P.
1-64-6
Montsi K.
Donski A.
6-44-63-6
Henning P.
Donski A.
6-23-67-66