Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava

Heilbronn · CHALLENGER

GER

Henri Squire

#249ATP

1499ELO

1479Clay ELO

25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Saturday, 6 June 2026 · 13:00

clay

USA

Emilio Nava

#94ATP

1699ELO

1667Clay ELO

$401kYTD

$1.9MCAREER

24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWLWW

Henri Squire faces Emilio Nava in the Heilbronn match on clay. Emilio Nava holds the paper edge — ranked #94, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Emilio Nava dropped the opening set before beating Guy Den Ouden 4–6 6–2 6–4.
Fatigue load: Emilio Nava carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Henri Squire 6 of 10, Emilio Nava 8 of 10 on clay recently — Emilio Nava the sharper of late.
Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC

Squire H.18%

Nava E.82%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nava E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 62% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample) · higher uncertainty at Challenger level. Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Squire H.

5.0Heavy underdog

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Nava E.

6.5Marginal edge

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

2.7Clay Elo 1479

Surface ELO

7.3+187 Clay Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1499

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1699

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.76 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.18 of last 10 on clay

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

20°COvercast

Wind 4 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Squire H.Nava E.

71%1st serve in+6%65%

68%1st serve points won+3%71%

47%2nd serve points won+3%50%

62%Service points won+2%64%

38%Return points won+1%37%

62%Break points saved+5%67%

4.7Aces / match+2.47.1

4.2Double faults / match+1.92.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final

Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava — Heilbronn