Arthur Fery vs Bu Yunchaokete — Birmingham Semi-final
Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
GBR#154ATP
1671ELO
1494Grass ELO
$196kYTD
$735kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWWLW
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Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
Arthur Fery faces Bu Yunchaokete in the Birmingham semi-final on grass. Arthur Fery holds the paper edge — ranked #154, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Last match: Bu Yunchaokete edged Mark Lajal in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
- Fatigue load: Arthur Fery carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fery leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Miami Masters 2026.
- Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTCFery A.54%
Yunchaokete B.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 62% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample) · higher uncertainty at Challenger level. Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.3+25 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.7Grass Elo 1469
5.2Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap4.8Overall Elo 1653
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Surface form4.84 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
15°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 76%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Q2 | hard | Arthur Fery | 6-3 3-6 7-5 |
Statistics
Recent form64%1st serve in+4%60%
68%1st serve points won+5%73%
51%2nd serve points won+9%60%
62%Service points won+6%68%
41%Return points won+6%35%
61%Break points saved+5%66%
3.9Aces / match+2.26.1
1.4Double faults / match+0.21.2
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Fery A.
Yunchaokete B.
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