Elina Avanesyan vs Darja SemenistajaMakarska Semi-final

Makarska · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#321WTA
1646ELO
1608Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#110WTA
1628ELO
1607Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW

Darja Semenistaja reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-1 6-2 win over Elina Avanesyan in the Makarska semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 4: Darja Semenistaja saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Set 2, game 6: Darja Semenistaja broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Elina Avanesyan converted 0 of 7 break points; Darja Semenistaja converted 5 of 9 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Avanesyan E.57%
Semenistaja D.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1607
4.4Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1628
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Avanesyan E.
120
Semenistaja D.
662

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
68%1st serve in+3%65%
56%1st serve points won+3%59%
39%2nd serve points won+5%44%
50%Service points won+4%54%
51%Return points won+5%46%
50%Break points saved+7%43%
0Aces / match+1.21.2
4Double faults / match+3.20.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.