Tyra Caterina Grant vs Darya Astakhova — Foggia Semi-final

Foggia · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
ITAWC
Tyra Caterina Grant
#157WTA
1666ELO
1640Clay ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
RUS
Darya Astakhova
#236WTA
1484ELO
1486Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWL

Tyra Caterina Grant won five games in a row to see off Darya Astakhova 6-2 6-3 in the Foggia semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 5: Tyra Caterina Grant broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 7: A 13-point game with four deuces went Darya Astakhova's way.
  • Pressure points: Tyra Caterina Grant converted 5 of 14 break points; Darya Astakhova converted 1 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Grant T.74%
Astakhova D.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Grant T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Grant T.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Astakhova D.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+154 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1486
6.0Overall Elo 1666
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Grant T.
662
Astakhova D.
230

Conditions

Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Grant T.Astakhova D.
64%1st serve in+3%67%
66%1st serve points won+8%58%
49%2nd serve points won+1%48%
60%Service points won+5%55%
47%Return points won+4%51%
61%Break points saved+7%54%
2.3Aces / match+1.31
3.5Double faults / match+0.62.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sherif M.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-06-3
Pedone G.
Gorgodze E.
6-36-3
Mair L.
Dang Y.
2-66-46-3
Paganetti V.
Bronzetti L.
1-60-6
Romero Gormaz L.
You X.
6-16-776-0
Tona M.
Turini V.
3-62-6
Tubello A.
Monnet C.
3-62-6
Prozorova T.
Brancaccio N.
6-46-0
Lepchenko V.
Shymanovich I.
5-76-36-1
Zaar L.
Grant T.
6-33-63-6
Pieri T.
Bosio V.
6-02-66-2
Sakellaridi S.
Costoulas S.
4-66-23-6
Papamichail D.
Paquet C.
5-73-6
Prisacariu A.
Radisic N.
6-22-62-6
Gao X.
Astakhova D.
4-61-6
Yaneva E.
Pigato L.
6-751-6
Sherif M.
Pedone G.
6-24-63-6
Mair L.
Bronzetti L.
2-61-6
Romero Gormaz L.
Turini V.
6-46-4
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
1-66-46-3
Lepchenko V.
Grant T.
6-736-22-6
Pieri T.
Costoulas S.
1-62-3
Paquet C.
Radisic N.
6-36-3
Astakhova D.
Pigato L.
6-32-66-3
Pedone G.
Bronzetti L.
2-64-6
Romero Gormaz L.
Monnet C.
1-66-26-1
Grant T.
Pieri T.
6-46-1
Paquet C.
Astakhova D.
5-73-6
Bronzetti L.
Romero Gormaz L.
4-61-6
Grant T.
Astakhova D.
6-26-3
Romero Gormaz L.
Grant T.
7-50-66-2