Alexander Donski vs Naoya Honda

Centurion 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

BUL

Alexander Donski

#687ATP

1368ELO

1373Hard ELO

27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Monday, 1 June 2026 · 10:00

hard

JPN

Naoya Honda

#872ATP

1240ELO

1236Hard ELO

20 yrs

Last 10

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Alexander Donski faces Naoya Honda in the Centurion 2 qualifying final on hard. Alexander Donski holds the paper edge — ranked #687, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Naoya Honda dropped the opening set before beating A. Scott 3–6 7–6 6–3.
Last match: Alexander Donski dropped just 6 games past Dillon Beckles.
Fatigue load: Naoya Honda carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Donski A.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Honda N.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.7+136 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.3Hard Elo 1236

6.6Overall Elo 1368

ELO gap

3.4Overall Elo 1240

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.15 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.25 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.