Lorenzo Carboni vs Jelle Sels — Perugia Qualifying Final

Perugia · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
ITA
Lorenzo Carboni
#477ATP
1165ELO
1171Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWLWL
—
Sets
Monday, 1 June 2026 ·
clay
NED
Jelle Sels
#450ATP
1316ELO
1288Clay ELO
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWLL

Lorenzo Carboni faces Jelle Sels in the Perugia qualifying final on clay. Jelle Sels holds the paper edge — ranked #450, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Jelle Sels edged E. Betti in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
  • Fatigue load: Lorenzo Carboni carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carboni L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Sels J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1170
Surface ELO
6.5+118 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1164
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1316
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Carboni L.Sels J.
59%1st serve in+6%65%
62%1st serve points won+2%64%
47%2nd serve points won+2%49%
56%Service points won+3%59%
41%Return points won+3%38%
50%Break points saved+3%53%
2Aces / match+1.83.8
2.6Double faults / match+0.81.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying