Rebecca Sramkova vs Maria Lourdes CarleRoland Garros Qualifying Final

Roland Garros · WTA · Qualifying Final
#139WTA
1654ELO
1587Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 22 May 2026 ·
clay
#232WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWW
Sramkova R.
6-4 5-7 6-2
Carle M.
Sramkova R.
6562
Carle M.
4721

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-4 5-7 6-2 in the Roland Garros qualifying final on clay. The result followed the form book — Rebecca Sramkova came in ranked #139, defending last year's round of 128. Rebecca Sramkova claimed a first win over Maria Lourdes Carle in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR128clayMaria Lourdes Carle6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
73
27
Break points saved·Dominant
87
26
Break points won·Clear edge
84
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+164 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1452
7.6Overall Elo 1683
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1473
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Sramkova R.: 17 days rest · Carle M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 51%
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final