Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo BuenoRoland Garros Qualifying Final

Roland Garros · ATP · Qualifying Final
#123ATP
1745ELO
1635Clay ELO
$175kYTD
$290kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 21 May 2026 ·
clay
#182ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
Samuel T.
5-7 6-1 6-3
Bueno G.
Samuel T.
5662
Bueno G.
7131

Toby Samuel defeated Gonzalo Bueno 5-7 6-1 6-3 in the Roland Garros qualifying final on clay. The result followed the form book — Toby Samuel came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Samuel T.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Bueno G.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Samuel T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+166 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1469
7.1Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
8.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
95

Samuel T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bueno G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final