Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur GeaHamburg Qualifying Final

Hamburg · ATP · Qualifying Final
#70ATP
1636ELO
1563Clay ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 17 May 2026 ·
clay
#136ATP
1597ELO
1521Clay ELO
$352kYTD
$604kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
Kovacevic A.
5-7 6-4 4-6
Gea A.
Kovacevic A.
5641
Gea A.
7462

Arthur Gea defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-5 4-6 6-4 in the Hamburg qualifying final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Arthur Gea claimed a first win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-19HamburgR32clayAleksandar Kovacevic6-2 7.7-6.3

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Gea A.

Gea A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
5.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
38
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
81
Break points won·Clear edge
4
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
26
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1+42 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.9Clay Elo 1521
5.0Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1597
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.5
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
67

Kovacevic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Gea A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 44%