Madison Keys vs Anastasia ZakharovaParis Quarter-final

Paris · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#23WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 15 May 2026 ·
clay
#101WTA
1742ELO
1595Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLW
Keys M.
6-4 6-1
Zakharova A.
Keys M.
662
Zakharova A.
410

Madison Keys defeated Anastasia Zakharova 6-4 6-1 in the Paris quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09Queen's ClubR16grassMadison Keys6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Zakharova A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
55
Break points saved·Dominant
96
47
Break points won·Even
90
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
67
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+299 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Clay Elo 1595
8.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1742
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
3.7
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
100

Keys M.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Zakharova A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About