Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie BoulterParis Round of 16

Paris · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#85WTA
1742ELO
1595Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 13 May 2026 ·
clay
#60WTA
1831ELO
1695Clay ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWL
Zakharova A.
6-3 3-6 6-4
Boulter K.
Zakharova A.
6362
Boulter K.
3641

Anastasia Zakharova defeated Katie Boulter 6-3 3-6 6-4 in the Paris round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Anastasia Zakharova claimed a first win over Katie Boulter in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Hong KongQFhardKatie Boulter6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Zakharova A.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
87
Break points saved·Dominant
47
86
Break points won·Slight edge
87
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
94
Tiebreaks·Even
84
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1595
Surface ELO
7.3+100 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
6.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Zakharova A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Boulter K.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About