Jan Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez VaronaValencia Round of 32

Valencia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#74ATP
1694ELO
1659Clay ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 12 May 2026 ·
clay
#457ATP
1353ELO
1301Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Struff J.
1-6 7-5 2-6
Alvarez Varona N.
Struff J.
1721
Alvarez Varona N.
6562

Nicolas Alvarez Varona defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-1 5-7 6-2 in the Valencia round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Lennard Struff came in ranked #74.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alvarez Varona N.

Alvarez Varona N.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
46%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
5
Break points saved·Dominant
99
40
Break points won·Even
21
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0+358 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1301
9.6Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1353
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
2.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
47

Struff J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 125 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About