Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jakub Paul

Valencia · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

NORQ

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

#118ATP

1620ELO

1582Clay ELO

$293kYTD

$747kCAREER

19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWLLLLLW

2 — 1

Sets

Tuesday, 12 May 2026 · 10:40

clay

SUIALT

Jakub Paul

#543ATP

1389ELO

1348Clay ELO

27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWLLWWL

Budkov Kjaer N.

6-7 6-1 6-4

Paul J.

Budkov Kjaer N.

6662

Paul J.

7141

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Jakub Paul 6-7 6-1 6-4 in the Valencia qualifying final on clay. The result followed the form book — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came in ranked #118.

Key context

Match story: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer dropped the opening set before beating Jakub Paul 6–7 6–1 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Budkov Kjaer N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul J.

Paul J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Serve advantage — Budkov Kjaer N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Budkov Kjaer N.Paul J.

1st serve in·Even

64%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

69%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

51%

50%

Service points won·Even

63%

60%

Return points won·Even

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

60%

55%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.9

2.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.5

0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Budkov Kjaer N.Paul J.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Budkov Kjaer N.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Paul J.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

8.7+235 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.3Clay Elo 1348

8.8Overall Elo 1620

ELO gap

1.2Overall Elo 1389

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

8.0

Surface form

5.0

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.