Madison Keys vs Fiona FerroParis Round of 32

Paris · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 May 2026 ·
clay
#188WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
Keys M.
6-4 6-2
Ferro F.
Keys M.
662
Ferro F.
420

Madison Keys defeated Fiona Ferro 6-4 6-2 in the Paris round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Ferro F.

Ferro F.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
39
Break points saved·Dominant
96
36
Break points won·Slight edge
90
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+289 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1605
8.7Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1662
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
100

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Ferro F.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About