Donna Vekic vs Maria TimofeevaIstanbul Final

Istanbul · CHALLENGER · Final
#34WTA
1807ELO
1754Clay ELO
$625kYTD
$11MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 10 May 2026 ·
clay
#95WTA
1696ELO
1688Clay ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Vekic D.
4-6 2-6
Timofeeva M.
Vekic D.
420
Timofeeva M.
662

Maria Timofeeva defeated Donna Vekic 6-4 6-2 in the Istanbul final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Donna Vekic came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Vekic D.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Vekic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
76
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
33
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+66 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1688
7.2Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
7.5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
88

Vekic D.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Timofeeva M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast