Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena OstapenkoRome Round of 32

Rome · WTA · Round of 32
#138WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 9 May 2026 ·
clay
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Zheng Q.
6-4 4-6 4-6
Ostapenko J.
Zheng Q.
6441
Ostapenko J.
4662

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Qinwen Zheng 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Rome round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Qinwen Zheng came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Jelena Ostapenko claimed a first win over Qinwen Zheng in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-23ZhuhaiRRhardQinwen Zheng6-4 1-6 6-2
2023-02-06Abu DhabiR16hardQinwen Zheng7-6(10) 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenR128hardQinwen Zheng6-3 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
49%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
5.1
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
79
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Even
89
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+3 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1808
6.0Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
93

Zheng Q.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final