Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas RuizRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#39ATP
1745ELO
1692Clay ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 9 May 2026 ·
clay
#119ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Moutet C.
4-6 6-3 6-7
Llamas Ruiz P.
Moutet C.
4661
Llamas Ruiz P.
6372

Pablo Llamas Ruiz defeated Corentin Moutet 6-4 3-6 7-6 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, defending last year's round of 16, but Pablo Llamas Ruiz had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moutet C.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Serve advantage — Llamas Ruiz P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Moutet C.Llamas Ruiz P.
Serve
61
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
88
Break points won·Dominant
75
39
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
78
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8Clay Elo 1692
Surface ELO
4.2+40 Clay Elo edge
6.4Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
92

Moutet C.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 70%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final